In a conflict between NATO and Russia, it could not avoid “complete destruction”…
Journalist and expert on international relations, Uros Lipuscek, in his latest extensive post on Facebook, discussed what “extreme militarization” in Slovenia, such as allocating five percent of GDP to armament or a possible exit from NATO, would mean for the country’s future. In the text, he presented a completely “realistic scenario” explaining why Russia might launch missile strikes on Ljubljana and other cities in the event of a possible war between superpowers.
Slovenia a target of attacks from the very start of the conflict?
“The so-called central NATO corridor runs through the middle of Slovenia, leading from the port of Koper and Trieste through Hungary to Ukraine. In the event of a war with Russia, which some extreme European politicians apparently desire, this would be the main route for military convoys heading to the eastern front,” Lipuscek wrote in the post, emphasizing that in such a case, Slovenian territory would be a target of Russian missile strikes from the very beginning.
If Slovenia managed to avoid complete destruction in the First World War, when Austro-Hungarian generals planned to try to stop the Italians in Slovenia, Uros Lipuscek stresses that in a possible future war, “if we remain in NATO or if militaristic forces preparing for war with Russia prevail within it,” this would not be the case, primarily due to the extremely important geostrategic position of the country.
“NATO could occupy Slovenia in a few days”
Lipuscek believes that Slovenia’s exit from the Alliance likely wouldn’t be a problem. Former national security advisor in the Carter administration, Zbigniew Brzezinski, told Milan Kucan, when he was still President of Slovenia, that NATO would occupy Slovenia within a few days if necessary. Lipuscek also emphasized that Brzezinski confirmed this to him in conversations when he was a correspondent asking about NATO expansion into Central Europe.
According to this journalist, Slovenia, therefore, does not have good geostrategic alternatives. “NATO, which has become an explicitly offensive and aggressive organization, will not take into account the interests of a small country, just as it does not take into account the vital interests of Ukrainians or Palestinians.”
As a solution, he proposed a radical change in Slovenian foreign policy “from complete passivity and subordination to NATO to an active foreign policy focused on peace and cooperation.” According to him, diplomacy is essential because “Slovenia has almost no strategic depth.”, N1 writes.
Photo: illustration
