Results of the survey conducted by the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (CBBiH) in September 2025 indicate slight fluctuations in expected inflation.
For the current year 2025, expected inflation amounts to 3.5 percent, which is an absolute increase of 0.1 percentage point compared to the June survey round.
Expectations for 2026 have recorded a decrease from 3.2 percent in June to 3.1 percent in this survey round.
It is important to emphasize that a reduction in inflationary expectations does not mean a drop in the prices of goods and services, but rather a slowing of the growth of expected inflationary pressures.
Greater predictability in business
In practical terms, this facilitates the alignment of supply and demand and contributes to more efficient economic policymaking. Consequently, expectations regarding the growth of disposable income are strengthened, which is often associated with higher real wage growth.
For the economy, stable inflation expectations mean greater predictability in business operations, investment, and strategic planning. In such an environment, the overall economic climate becomes more favorable for sustainable growth and development.
The CBBiH conducts a quarterly Survey on Inflation Expectations, in line with the growing interest of domestic and foreign institutions. Participants in the survey continue to be representatives of the financial sector – commercial banks and insurance companies, and the aim of the survey is to provide valuable insights into the perceptions and expectations of different actors in the economy.
