The United States (U.S.), France, and the United Kingdom (UK)have allowed Ukraine to attack Russia with long-range missiles. Hungary has criticized the U.S. decision to permit Ukraine to strike deep inside Russia. A sinister message from Russia: Biden’s decision could lead to World War III. Military analyst Marinko Ogorec explains that a third world war would also mean a nuclear one, which would automatically signal the end of humanity, meaning that no supplies of pasta or canned goods would be needed, as advised by three European countries that have recommended their citizens prepare for possible escalations of the conflict.
Ogorec believes Biden made this decision improperly, as it comes from a man who is leaving the position of U.S. president.
“Namely, we have seen that a vast number of voters and electors in the U.S., based on their votes, including the electoral ones, have shown dissatisfaction with the current U.S. administration’s policy. In such circumstances, the most appropriate thing for an outgoing president would be not to make strategic moves like this. He should have waited for a smooth transition of power, allowing the new administration to take office and handle the further development of events. However, he did not do so but instead made a strategic move that could have far-reaching consequences,” Ogorec stated.
Biden’s decision comes at a time when Russian allies, such as North Korea, have escalated the situation by sending troops to Kursk. Ogorec believes that North Korea’s involvement has further globalized the conflict in Ukraine.
“This is an escalation of a conflict that was neither necessary nor desirable, and it is equally worrisome. It’s adding fuel to the fire instead of trying, in some way, to calm and stabilize the situation. This does not bring anything good,” he explained.
Ogorec believes that certain European allies supporting Ukraine in striking deep Russian targets have followed Biden’s lead.
“If it weren’t for Biden, there would be no decision from France or the UK. I think Biden took the lead in this segment, and they were quick to support this decision with their capabilities,” Ogorec added, noting that Hungary and, to some extent, Slovakia opposed Biden’s decision:
“Hungary was the loudest on this matter. Slovakia also disagrees with this decision, but I think a number of European countries share this stance. The arrival of Donald Trump to power in the U.S. is being viewed as a kind of path toward stabilization and calming the situation on the ground. This decision leads to unnecessary escalation because, as I repeat, this is not what an outgoing administration does. And as for the situation on the ground, little will change in the combat zones. Biden’s decision will not improve Ukraine’s status or position in combat operations, but the fact is that escalation is gradually occurring on a political level.”
When asked whether Trump could reverse Biden’s decision after his official inauguration on January 20th, Ogorec responded:
“We‘ll see. It’s very difficult to answer hypothetical questions about what might happen. We‘ll see what his first moves will be after Biden leaves office. We can see that even regarding Biden, his potential administration is not satisfied, but Trump remains silent. In any case, things will be different when Trump comes to power, and we‘ll have the opportunity to see how he positions himself regarding any segment of foreign policy,” emphasized the military analyst.
When asked for clarification about the missiles in question, their range, and what the term “deep strike” on a territory means, as well as which targets could be hit, he explained:
“When we talk about these ATACMS missiles, in any case, their range is around 300 kilometers. Those 300 kilometers are not sufficient to strike strategic targets deep inside Russia, but they are enough to hit certain logistical centers, assembly zones, airbases, as well as weapons storage facilities, etc., which are relatively close to the current front line, where Russians are delivering their logistical capacities for combat operations. These could be targeted, as well as certain energy infrastructures. Some centers of civilian life – cities, urban areas, and the like – could also be at risk, but let’s hope it doesn’t come to that, as it would mean a new step in the conflict’s escalation. However, hitting these targets will not significantly improve Ukraine’s position on the battlefield,” Ogorec explained.
Ogorec also noted that Ukraine possesses only a limited number of ATACMS missiles.
“Therefore, they cannot target many objectives deep inside Russia. After all, these missiles have so far been used to hit targets in Crimea, in the Russian-controlled parts of Donbas, and certain targets near the Sea of Azov, where Russian bases were also located. However, not with great expectations or success,” he said.
Following Biden’s decision, a sinister message came from Russia, warning that a third world war could erupt.
“I think this is somewhat exaggerated when it comes to the Russian side because, in this way, they aim politically and in terms of marketing to portray this escalation as unacceptable to them. They are threatening a conflict they themselves do not want. I think the Russian state, military, and political structures, and everything else, are deeply aware of what a third world war, which would inevitably become nuclear, would mean – it would mean the end of humanity. I think they know this very well and that it’s not in their interest. So, it’s one thing to threaten, but another to act on it. This should not be allowed, and the situation should somehow be calmed down, so I believe they understand that the threat of a third world war is not an option that would bring any solution,” Ogorec opined.
However, the narrative of a potential third world war has already caused panic worldwide, leading some countries (Sweden, Finland, and Norway) to issue brochures advising residents to prepare for potential conflict escalations and secure sufficient food supplies (pasta, beans… as well as iodine tablets).
“In this way, unnecessary panic and tension are created, exerting pressure on their own population. I don’t know who benefits from this, but if a nuclear war were to happen, all of this would be meaningless. In other words, it would be destruction of such magnitude that no supplies of pasta, canned goods, or anything else would help. It would literally be the end of the world, the final story. A nuclear war would mean the annihilation of humanity and everything that comes with it. It’s pointless to discuss, so I think those in decision-making positions are deeply aware of this,” Ogorec concluded, N1 writes.
