The American weekly magazine Newsweek published an analysis of military experts on the potential start of World War III on its website, and among other things, the situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina was mentioned.
Retired Admiral Mark Montgomery and former advisor to the US Secretary of Defense James Anderson pointed out several locations in the world where a larger conflict could begin for this newspaper.
Among others, the situation in the Balkans, namely in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia and Montenegro, was mentioned.
Montgomery said that Russia would be the most likely trigger for a wider war, noting that Moscow has its hand in smaller conflicts in countries such as Georgia and Serbia.
“Vladimir Putin has put pressure on Serbia, and with the Bosnians and Republika Srpska. He is pushing hard for a conflict there,” Montgomery said.
In addition to the Balkans, analysts also mentioned Russian aspirations in the Baltics and Poland for Newsweek, which they consider an “extension” of the war in Ukraine, which began with Russian aggression in 2022.
Other potential “hotspots” in the world were also mentioned, primarily related to China. It is about the Indo-Pacific, and specifically China’s potential invasion of Taiwan, which has been a foreign policy goal of the government in Beijing since the founding of the People’s Republic of China.
Montgomery and Anderson also mentioned Iran in this analysis, particularly highlighting the financing of the Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi groups, along with Tehran’s recent direct attack on Israel.
In a further analysis, the military analysts write that North Korea, Iran and China would participate in this hypothetical conflict, and they explain their position by the fact that these countries “supported the Russian aggression in Ukraine”, noting the direct and indirect support that Russia has received from these countries.
On the other hand, it is expected that NATO countries will also be involved, and in the first place these would be Germany, Poland, France, Great Britain, Italy and the USA. Also, if war potentially breaks out in the Baltics, these three countries (Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia) would also be involved.
According to their analysis, the Philippines would not be left out of the conflict, as would Japan, Australia, India, Malaysia and Indonesia, due to their geographical proximity to China.
They mentioned Turkey, which they called a “potentially destabilizing force”, but added that they would “not risk conflict with the US and Israel”.
Regarding security, Montgomery and Anderson say that in the event of a major conflict “nowhere in the world would be completely safe”, but that the safest region would be the “global south”, and rural areas in the US that would not be the target of potential attacks.
